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2012-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 โœ“ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 56.8% 43.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cody Larson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bradley Beal * 36 6-13 1-4 3-6 5 0 3 2 1 16 12 -
Erving Walker * 34 6-14 1-5 2-2 5 3 2 0 2 15 9 -
Kenny Boynton * 29 4-11 3-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 11 1 -
Erik Murphy * 26 4-6 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 9 7 -
Patric Young * 25 2-3 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 0 2 4 7 -
Mike Rosario 25 1-6 1-5 2-2 0 2 2 0 0 5 3 -
Scottie Wilbekin 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Casey Prather 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Smart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shelby Moats 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
James Siakam 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Aaron Noll 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jeffery Taylor * 35 5-13 4-8 4-9 6 3 0 0 3 18 11 -
John Jenkins * 32 7-10 6-9 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 22 14 -
Brad Tinsley * 24 0-1 0-1 6-6 4 4 1 0 1 6 13 -
Lance Goulbourne * 23 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
Festus Ezeli * 20 4-5 0-0 3-5 4 0 1 2 1 11 12 -
Kedren Johnson 27 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 3 1 0 3 7 4 -
Steve Tchiengang 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Rod Odom 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Parker 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter