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2012-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.5% 26.5% - โœ“
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.5% 39.5% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 6-12 0-0 3-3 8 0 0 7 1 15 17 -
Marquis Teague * 37 6-12 0-3 1-3 4 8 0 0 1 13 12 -
Doron Lamb * 37 6-13 2-7 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 16 6 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 30 1-4 0-1 2-3 7 1 1 1 3 4 7 -
Terrence Jones * 30 6-10 0-0 2-3 9 0 2 4 0 14 19 -
Darius Miller 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
Kyle Wiltjer 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Jenkins * 39 5-14 3-9 2-3 2 0 2 0 1 15 4 -
Jeffery Taylor * 35 5-11 2-5 1-1 9 4 0 0 2 13 13 -
Brad Tinsley * 34 5-12 3-5 0-0 5 4 1 1 3 13 9 -
Lance Goulbourne * 31 1-9 0-2 1-2 8 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Festus Ezeli * 27 5-12 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 2 3 13 6 -
Steve Tchiengang 13 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Rod Odom 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Parker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kedren Johnson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter