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UTSA Roadrunners

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UTSA Roadrunners
Program History

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

59.7
PPG
58.7
Opp
+1.0
Margin
39.5%
FG%
29.6%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
39.9
RPG
13.4
APG
18.4
TO
69.1
Est. poss./game
59.5
Adj PPG
55.0
Adj Opp PPG
#112
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1268 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1094 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 1098 (#67) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +5.1 (#112) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +8.0 (#87) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.488 (#175) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.3 More → 0.488 (#175) NetEff -0.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.2 More → 0.720 (#112) AdjNet +8.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.4 More → 0.727 (#111) AdjNet +8.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 55.0 More → 0.600 (#112) AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 55.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 54.4 More → 0.609 (#96) AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 54.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.692 (#98) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.694 (#94) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 33 More → 1117 (#111) RD 105 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 52 - 79
2025-11-08 @ Houston Cougars L 48 - 52
2025-11-13 vs Texas State Bobcats W 64 - 41
2025-11-19 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 74 - 57
2025-11-24 vs Auburn Tigers L 42 - 59
2025-11-26 @ Grand Canyon Lopes W 65 - 64
2025-12-03 vs UNLV Lady Rebels L 39 - 66
2025-12-07 @ Baylor Bears L 55 - 73
2025-12-13 vs Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers W 86 - 40
2025-12-15 vs Texas A&M-Kingsville Javelinas W 82 - 40
2025-12-20 @ Columbia Lions L 65 - 70
2025-12-30 vs Tulane Green Wave W 65 - 63
2026-01-03 @ Temple Owls W 50 - 47
2026-01-10 vs Charlotte 49ers W 69 - 63
2026-01-13 @ South Florida Bulls L 53 - 70
2026-01-16 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 79 - 42
2026-01-20 vs East Carolina Pirates L 58 - 65
2026-01-23 @ Memphis Tigers L 40 - 52
2026-01-28 vs North Texas Mean Green W 66 - 64
2026-01-31 vs Rice Owls L 55 - 65
2026-02-03 @ UAB Blazers L 69 - 81
2026-02-07 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 66 - 47
2026-02-10 vs Temple Owls W 52 - 43
2026-02-14 vs South Florida Bulls L 63 - 69
2026-02-21 @ Wichita State Shockers L 61 - 62
2026-02-24 @ North Texas Mean Green L 63 - 87
2026-03-01 vs Memphis Tigers W 67 - 55
2026-03-04 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 41 - 53
2026-03-07 @ Rice Owls W 61 - 52
2026-03-11 vs Temple Owls W 59 - 51
2026-03-12 @ South Florida Bulls W 62 - 51
2026-03-13 @ East Carolina Pirates W 54 - 44
2026-03-14 @ Rice Owls W 54 - 40
2026-03-21 @ UConn Huskies L 52 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cheyenne Rowe Cheyenne Rowe F 33 33.1 13.9 8.7 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.9 12.7 10.5 54 28 1.9 2.4 44.5 25.0 73.7 -0.81 49.5 46.0
Ereauna Hardaway Ereauna Hardaway PG 33 31.9 11.3 3.9 4.7 1.6 0.0 3.1 9.2 9.1 97 28 3.5 4.5 41.6 42.6 72.5 2.17 52.8 48.2
Idara Udo Idara Udo F 26 24.7 9.3 7.4 1.0 0.8 0.7 2.6 8.3 8.3 92 21 4.4 7.2 42.8 16.7 65.5 2.26 47.8 43.0
Damara Allen Damara Allen G 34 27.8 8.3 4.7 1.9 0.8 0.1 2.6 8.3 4.7 93 29 3.2 4.7 35.3 32.8 73.6 3.31 45.9 42.8
Mia Hammonds Mia Hammonds G 34 26.1 6.9 5.0 1.3 1.2 0.9 2.5 6.2 6.4 62 29 2.1 3.3 42.5 17.9 63.9 -0.29 47.8 44.1
Adriana Robles Adriana Robles PG 34 21.9 5.0 2.5 2.1 1.0 0.0 2.1 4.9 3.6 65 29 2.2 4.2 36.3 23.7 61.1 2.23 44.1 40.5
Jayda Holiman Jayda Holiman PG 34 17.2 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.0 4.6 2.3 10 29 0.3 0.8 30.3 28.8 70.6 -2.21 41.9 40.0
Emilia Dannebauer Emilia Dannebauer F 33 12.8 2.5 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.9 2.4 2.3 8 28 0.3 0.9 35.4 0.0 71.4 -1.13 42.9 35.4
Sanaa Bean Sanaa Bean F 34 8.9 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.6 -46 29 -1.6 -7.2 43.6 0 78.6 -5.02 49.8 43.6
Siena Guttadauro Siena Guttadauro G 14 8.1 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.1 -0.2 15 14 1.1 5.6 13.8 13.6 50.0 0.07 20.1 19.0
Saher Alizada Saher Alizada PG 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Nyayongah Gony Nyayongah Gony F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Marie Han Marie Han G 3 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.1 0.0 0.0
Maya Linton Maya Linton G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Taylor Ross Taylor Ross F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sema Udo Sema Udo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1905 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Rowe23% Rowe28% Rowe30% Rowe46% Rowe42% Allen38% Allen36% Allen31% Hardaway52% Allen28%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Udo25% Rowe24% Rowe27% Rowe34% Rowe35% Allen39% Allen32% Allen28% Rowe23% Holiman31%
Misses: who misses most here

Cheyenne RoweEreauna HardawayDamara AllenIdara UdoJayda Holiman

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 213-375 56.8 426 Cheyenne Rowe 23% (98 pts) Idara Udo 19% (82 pts) Idara Udo 25% (41 misses) Mia Hammonds 16% (26 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 243-583 41.7 486 Cheyenne Rowe 28% (136 pts) Mia Hammonds 17% (82 pts) Cheyenne Rowe 24% (81 misses) Ereauna Hardaway 17% (57 misses)
Mid-range left 56-152 36.8 112 Cheyenne Rowe 30% (34 pts) Damara Allen 23% (26 pts) Cheyenne Rowe 27% (26 misses) Damara Allen 18% (17 misses)
Mid-range center 57-179 31.8 114 Cheyenne Rowe 46% (52 pts) Ereauna Hardaway 19% (22 pts) Cheyenne Rowe 34% (41 misses) Ereauna Hardaway 17% (21 misses)
Mid-range right 36-115 31.3 72 Cheyenne Rowe 42% (30 pts) Idara Udo 17% (12 pts) Cheyenne Rowe 35% (28 misses) Damara Allen 16% (13 misses)
Left corner 3 21-65 32.3 63 Damara Allen 38% (24 pts) Ereauna Hardaway 19% (12 pts) Damara Allen 39% (17 misses) Jayda Holiman 20% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 14-54 25.9 42 Damara Allen 36% (15 pts) Jayda Holiman 29% (12 pts) Damara Allen 32% (13 misses) Jayda Holiman 25% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 left 45-161 28.0 135 Damara Allen 31% (42 pts) Jayda Holiman 27% (36 pts) Damara Allen 28% (32 misses) Jayda Holiman 16% (18 misses)
Above-break 3 center 31-84 36.9 93 Ereauna Hardaway 52% (48 pts) Cheyenne Rowe 26% (24 pts) Cheyenne Rowe 23% (12 misses) Ereauna Hardaway 21% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 right 36-137 26.3 108 Damara Allen 28% (30 pts) Ereauna Hardaway 28% (30 pts) Jayda Holiman 31% (31 misses) Damara Allen 18% (18 misses)