Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Spencer | 30 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Chase | 29 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Nestor | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | - |
| A. Proctor | 27 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | - |
| A. Schissler | 23 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Price | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Lidge | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Owens-Barnett | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Thornton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Talley | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Rickman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rowe | 33 | 12-18 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - |
| E. Hardaway | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Allen | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Hammonds | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Holiman | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Robles | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Dannebauer | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Bean | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Udo | 9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Guttadauro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter