Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +24 (87-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rowe | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| E. Hardaway | 27 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| I. Udo | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Allen | 23 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -6 | - |
| A. Robles | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Holiman | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| M. Hammonds | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Dannebauer | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Bean | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Guttadauro | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schissler | 33 | 8-14 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| A. Proctor | 32 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Chase | 24 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Price | 23 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Owens-Barnett | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Nestor | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| C. Spencer | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Talley | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Lidge | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Thornton | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter