Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ereauna Hardaway | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -18.0 |
| Cheyenne Rowe | 34 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -14.0 |
| Damara Allen | 30 | 5-18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Emilia Dannebauer | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -7.7 |
| Adriana Robles | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Mia Hammonds | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11.7 |
| Jayda Holiman | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Siena Guttadauro | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -4.6 |
| Sanaa Bean | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanie Ingram | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +15.4 |
| Carla Brito | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | +10.8 |
| Edyn Battle | 24 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +6.2 |
| Katie Davidson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +3.5 |
| L'or Mputu | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Kirsten Lewis-Williams | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +10.4 |
| Jelena Bulajic | 16 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +17.2 |
| Fatou Diakite | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +21.1 |
| I. Pipe | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Raina Tomasicka | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.7 |
| Lana Vukcevic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Lee Teichman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
* = starter