Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.9% | 23.1% | -6.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +12 (52-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hardaway | 37 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| C. Rowe | 33 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Hammonds | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Robles | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Allen | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| E. Dannebauer | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Bean | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Guttadauro | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Holiman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Richmond | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Allen | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Hunter | 30 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Williams | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Harris | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Alexander | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Spiers | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Alexander | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter