Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Richmond | 40 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| C. Allen | 38 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Alexander | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3 | - |
| P. Gaines | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Williams | 20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Alexander | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Charlo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Spiers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rowe | 37 | 7-21 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| A. Robles | 31 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| E. Hardaway | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Hammonds | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| I. Udo | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Allen | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Bean | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Holiman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Dannebauer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter