Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | +26.7 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +12 (67-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejah Richmond * | 40 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | -8.4 |
| Cori Allen * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -8.6 |
| Kennedi Alexander * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -5.3 |
| Tamya Smith * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3 | -6.1 |
| Paris Gaines * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -13.6 |
| Amauri Williams | 20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Brooklynn Charlo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| JahNaesia Spiers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyenne Rowe * | 37 | 7-21 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +5.4 |
| Adriana Robles * | 31 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | +10.3 |
| Ereauna Hardaway * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | +12.4 |
| Mia Hammonds * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +4.8 |
| Idara Udo * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +11.5 |
| Damara Allen | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Sanaa Bean | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Jayda Holiman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Emilia Dannebauer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.8 |
* = starter