Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Columbia Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Columbia Lions +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rowe | 38 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -0.6 |
| E. Hardaway | 36 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +4.8 |
| D. Allen | 31 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | +3.6 |
| E. Dannebauer | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4.8 |
| M. Hammonds | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -2 | +7.6 |
| J. Holiman | 17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -5.0 |
| A. Robles | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2.7 |
| S. Bean | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.8 |
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Weiss | 36 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +8.4 |
| F. Henderson | 35 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +4.7 |
| P. Page | 34 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | +6.7 |
| M. Avlijas | 33 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 2-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +2.1 |
| S. Rafiu | 29 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | +11.5 |
| M. Broom | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -7 | -6.9 |
| H. Feldrappe | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| N. Simmons | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| B. Tor | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| M. Arrebola | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| E. Erinugha | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| M. Jaama | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter