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2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Tulane Green Wave UTSA Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 6.3% 93.7% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% -
Log Adjusted 20.3% 79.7% -
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulane Green Wave

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mabry 34 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 6 4 -0.9
K. Sneed 33 4-12 1-2 0-0 6 6 1 1 3 9 8 -0.5
K. Daniel 31 4-10 1-4 3-4 4 4 2 1 4 12 9 +3.6
D. Hanna 30 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 4 7 +7.5
M. Marshall 17 5-8 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 11 7 +8.4
CC Mays 16 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 4 -7.4
J. Brown 11 3-7 3-4 0-2 0 0 1 0 3 9 0 +4.4
S. Kimpson 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +6.6
K. Hampton 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +3.6
J. Weaver 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 +1.4
T. Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.5

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hardaway 38 5-12 2-6 4-4 5 7 1 0 3 16 14 +3.6
C. Rowe 36 6-12 1-2 0-0 12 0 2 0 3 13 12 -6.3
E. Dannebauer 29 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 1 8 +2.3
M. Hammonds 27 2-8 0-2 1-2 8 2 2 2 2 5 9 +4.9
J. Holiman 26 3-10 2-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 10 1 +5.3
A. Robles 23 4-9 3-5 0-0 0 4 1 0 5 11 2 -18.2
D. Allen 16 3-6 1-3 2-2 6 0 1 0 2 9 8 -2.5
S. Bean 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -0.0

* = starter