🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-20

Model Predictions

Model East Carolina Pirates UTSA Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Brooks 34 3-8 1-3 7-8 5 4 3 1 3 14 16 +10.3
K. Rembert 33 8-14 1-2 4-4 4 2 1 1 2 21 13 +8.2
J. Hearp 28 3-9 1-1 3-5 5 0 2 0 2 10 6 +0.1
A. Hutton 27 1-5 0-1 4-4 8 4 0 0 0 6 13 -6.4
K. Fauntleroy 24 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 7 2 -3 +4.1
T. Barner 19 1-5 0-3 2-4 1 1 1 0 2 4 0 +6.6
O. Hilliard 15 3-7 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 3 6 -1 +3.1
M. Dibua 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 2 5 +8.8
Z. Zellous 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.0
B. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.1

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hardaway 38 1-5 1-2 5-5 4 7 2 0 3 8 13 -2.4
D. Allen 35 3-9 2-4 4-6 3 3 1 0 3 12 7 +4.4
E. Dannebauer 31 2-5 0-0 4-6 3 3 1 0 4 8 6 -2.6
M. Hammonds 27 3-8 0-0 6-8 6 0 1 1 3 12 9 +2.1
A. Robles 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 2 -3 -1.2
J. Holiman 20 3-5 3-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 9 4 +0.7
S. Bean 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -2.1
S. Guttadauro 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -16.1

* = starter