Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -10 (44-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rowe | 37 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| E. Hardaway | 36 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| I. Udo | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Hammonds | 34 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Allen | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| A. Robles | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Holiman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Bean | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Dannebauer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Rembert | 33 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Fauntleroy | 33 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Hearp | 31 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. Hutton | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Barner | 28 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Brooks | 21 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Z. Zellous | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| O. Hilliard | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Dibua | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter