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UConn

Also known as: UConn Huskies, UConn
Program History

2012 Team Stats (22 games)

67.5
PPG
64.0
Opp
+3.5
Margin
44.6%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
68.2%
FT%
37.2
RPG
13.3
APG
12.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.7
Adj PPG
59.6
Adj Opp PPG
#38
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1218 (#61) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1171 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1019 (#143) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +10.9 (#37) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +10.4 (#40) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.674 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.0 More โ†’ 0.889 (#34) AdjNet +18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.2 More โ†’ 0.891 (#34) AdjNet +18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 59.6 More โ†’ 0.714 (#38) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 59.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 61.5 More โ†’ 0.628 (#66) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 61.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.732 (#56) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.716 (#63) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1139 (#84) RD 112 | GP 34

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Columbia Lions W 70 - 57
2011-11-14 vs Wagner Seahawks W 78 - 66
2011-11-17 vs Maine Black Bears W 80 - 60
2011-11-20 vs Coppin State Eagles W 87 - 70
2011-11-24 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 73 - 63
2011-11-25 vs UCF Knights L 63 - 68
2011-11-26 vs Florida State Seminoles W 78 - 76
2011-12-03 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 75 - 62
2011-12-08 vs Harvard Crimson W 67 - 53
2011-12-18 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 77 - 40
2011-12-22 vs Fairfield Stags W 79 - 71
2011-12-28 @ South Florida Bulls W 60 - 57
2011-12-31 vs St. John's Red Storm W 83 - 69
2012-01-03 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 63 - 75
2012-01-07 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 60 - 67
2012-01-09 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 64 - 57
2012-01-14 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 67 - 53
2012-01-18 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 67 - 70
2012-01-21 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 57 - 60
2012-01-29 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 48 - 50
2012-02-01 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 44 - 58
2012-02-04 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 69 - 46
2012-02-06 @ Louisville Cardinals L 59 - 80
2012-02-11 @ Syracuse Orange L 67 - 85
2012-02-15 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 80 - 54
2012-02-18 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 64 - 79
2012-02-20 @ Villanova Wildcats W 73 - 70
2012-02-25 vs Syracuse Orange L 69 - 71
2012-02-28 @ Providence Friars L 70 - 72
2012-03-03 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 74 - 65
2012-03-06 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 81 - 67
2012-03-07 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 71 - 67
2012-03-08 @ Syracuse Orange L 55 - 58
2012-03-15 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 64 - 77

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremy Lamb Jeremy Lamb G-F 34 37.2 17.7 4.9 1.7 1.2 0.6 2.0 9.4 14.8 169 27 6.3 7.3 47.5 33.3 83.1 4.4 85.7 55.0
Shabazz Napier Shabazz Napier G 34 35.0 13.0 3.5 5.8 1.6 0.3 2.8 7.0 14.5 154 27 5.7 7.0 39.5 34.3 72.0 2.89 77.3 46.8
Ryan Boatright Ryan Boatright G 25 30.1 10.4 3.3 4.0 1.2 0.2 2.2 5.4 11.4 55 19 2.9 4.1 41.2 44.7 70.2 2.51 83.0 48.9
Andre Drummond Andre Drummond C 34 28.4 10.0 7.6 0.4 0.8 2.7 1.5 6.1 13.9 59 27 2.2 3.4 52.2 0.0 31.1 -1.12 72.1 52.2
Alex Oriakhi Alex Oriakhi F 34 21.5 6.7 4.8 0.3 0.1 1.3 1.2 4.0 8.0 123 27 4.6 9.4 48.2 0 55.1 0.81 71.6 48.2
Roscoe Smith Roscoe Smith F 33 18.2 4.4 3.4 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 2.4 5.6 55 26 2.1 5.2 39.7 15.4 73.7 -0.93 77.1 41.0
Tyler Olander Tyler Olander F 34 17.6 4.2 3.9 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 2.7 6.4 71 27 2.6 6.2 47.3 50.0 68.6 -0.72 66.0 47.8
DeAndre Daniels DeAndre Daniels F 30 12.5 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 2.5 3.5 120 25 4.8 15.4 34.2 22.5 78.3 3.21 54.6 40.1
Niels Giffey Niels Giffey G 30 11.7 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.4 3.2 -46 24 -1.9 -6.9 45.2 47.1 79.2 -4.94 74.2 54.8
Enosch Wolf Enosch Wolf C 8 1.2 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.6 -16 6 -2.7 -89.1 25.0 0 0 -3.03 25.0 25.0
Brendan Allen Brendan Allen G 9 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 -0.1 -16 7 -2.3 -45.0 20.0 0.0 0 -3.7 20.0 20.0
Kyle Bailey Kyle Bailey G 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.53 0 0
Benjamin Stewart Benjamin Stewart F 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.28 0 0
P.J. Cochrane P.J. Cochrane G 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.66 0 0
Ethan Waite Ethan Waite G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.35 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG