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2012-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 4.8% 95.2% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Log Adjusted 37.8% 62.2% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dixon * 38 4-17 2-8 2-4 2 2 0 0 0 12 -1 -
S. Kilpatrick * 37 5-15 4-9 2-4 4 0 2 0 0 16 7 -
Y. Gates * 36 5-10 0-0 3-3 12 0 0 0 0 13 15 -
C. Wright * 29 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 4 13 10 -
J. Jackson * 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 0 6 -
J. Parker 20 5-10 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
J. Davis 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
C. Mbodj 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Sanders 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lamb * 40 5-12 1-5 3-3 8 5 0 1 3 14 13 -
S. Napier * 38 10-19 3-8 4-5 5 7 2 0 5 27 17 -
A. Drummond * 28 2-9 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 3 4 -1 -
A. Oriakhi * 26 1-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Daniels * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Giffey 34 4-6 2-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 10 10 -
R. Smith 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 4 8 -
T. Olander 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
B. Allen 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter