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2011-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 23.2% 76.8% +6.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.1% 80.9% -
Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% -
Log Adjusted 4.8% 95.2% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Abron * 34 4-12 0-0 0-4 16 2 2 0 2 8 14 -
J. Nobles * 26 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 -4 -
M. Sanchez * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
M. Wade * 25 3-7 2-5 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 11 5 -
R. Scott Jr. * 22 2-9 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 -2 -
B. Young 27 10-20 5-6 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 28 14 -
R. Madden 21 2-11 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 4 0 -
H. Mickelson 14 2-8 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 1 -
M. Waithe 5 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Napier * 37 3-6 1-3 2-2 4 7 1 2 3 9 14 -
A. Oriakhi * 28 3-6 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 1 2 9 11 -
J. Lamb * 26 6-9 2-2 0-0 6 2 1 2 4 14 12 -
A. Drummond * 17 0-3 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 4 0 1 3 -
D. Daniels * 6 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
R. Boatright 35 8-12 2-3 5-8 5 6 2 1 2 23 23 -
T. Olander 31 6-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
N. Giffey 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
R. Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -

* = starter