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2012-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% +1.8 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +9 (74-65). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ashton Gibbs * 32 5-15 1-8 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 12 2 -
Tray Woodall * 31 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 11 10 -
Dante Taylor * 28 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Lamar Patterson * 28 5-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 3 12 7 -
Nasir Robinson * 23 4-10 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 10 7 -
JJ Moore 30 7-13 1-2 1-2 6 2 2 0 3 16 10 -
Talib Zanna 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
Malcolm Gilbert 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Cameron Wright 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
John Johnson 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shabazz Napier * 40 7-18 4-9 5-6 3 6 4 0 3 23 15 -
Jeremy Lamb * 36 4-9 1-4 5-6 4 2 1 1 1 14 12 -
Alex Oriakhi * 30 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 3 0 8 13 -
Andre Drummond * 29 3-7 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 4 2 7 8 -
Roscoe Smith * 27 7-10 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 14 11 -
Ryan Boatright 32 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 6 6 -
Niels Giffey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyler Olander 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter