Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Murray * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Folahan * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| L. Rivers * | 29 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| K. Ortiz * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Williams * | 14 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| C. Martin | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Thompson | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| O. Parker | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Burton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Schrotenboer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Naurais | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lamb * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Shabazz Napier * | 35 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Olander * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Roscoe Smith * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| DeAndre Daniels | 26 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Andre Drummond | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Niels Giffey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter