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2012-03-08

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 89.4% 10.6% -
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% -
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lamb * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 0 10 20 -
S. Napier * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 15 14 -
A. Drummond * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 3 1 14 27 -
A. Oriakhi * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 7 -
R. Smith * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
R. Boatright 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 5 14 -
T. Olander 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 0 1 4 15 -
N. Giffey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 3 5 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Joseph * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 10 19 -
F. Melo * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 7 17 -
B. Triche * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 7 14 -
S. Jardine * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
C.J. Fair * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Southerland 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 10 16 -
D. Waiters 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 18 20 -
M. Carter-Williams 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 0 6 -
R. Christmas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 2 10 -

* = starter