Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +14 (67-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Casey * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Wright * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Curry * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Webster * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| O. McNally * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Rivard | 24 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| W. Saunders | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Travis | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Moundou-Missi | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Napier * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Lamb * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Drummond * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Oriakhi * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Smith * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Olander | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| R. Boatright | 25 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Daniels | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Giffey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter