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2011-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 1.5% 98.5% -
Bradley-Terry 12.9% 87.1% -
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +14 (67-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Casey * 33 4-9 2-3 2-2 5 0 1 1 1 12 9 -
K. Wright * 30 3-10 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
B. Curry * 29 1-6 0-2 2-4 2 6 1 0 2 4 5 -
C. Webster * 24 3-8 2-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 8 5 -
O. McNally * 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 5 5 -
L. Rivard 24 2-8 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
W. Saunders 21 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 2 1 4 10 -
J. Travis 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Moundou-Missi 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
K. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Napier * 37 3-10 1-3 2-2 1 7 4 0 2 9 9 -
J. Lamb * 37 6-13 3-7 3-4 7 1 3 0 1 18 15 -
A. Drummond * 25 6-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 12 9 -
A. Oriakhi * 22 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
R. Smith * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
T. Olander 27 3-4 1-1 0-2 6 3 1 1 0 7 14 -
R. Boatright 25 4-10 1-1 2-2 2 3 0 1 2 11 5 -
D. Daniels 5 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
N. Giffey 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter