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2012-02-06

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 86.8% 13.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +21 (80-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Napier * 35 3-11 0-4 3-4 3 1 4 0 2 9 4 -
J. Lamb * 35 3-9 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 7 1 -
R. Boatright * 34 5-10 2-3 6-8 6 5 4 0 3 18 20 -
A. Drummond * 16 0-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 0 1 0 0 -
T. Olander * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Oriakhi 30 4-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 4 2 11 13 -
R. Smith 19 3-7 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
D. Daniels 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
N. Giffey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kuric * 32 3-12 2-7 2-2 9 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
P. Siva * 32 3-10 1-1 0-0 1 9 1 0 2 7 6 -
G. Dieng * 31 7-12 0-0 1-2 6 0 6 0 2 15 13 -
C. Behanan * 27 3-8 1-2 0-0 12 2 0 0 4 7 9 -
C. Smith * 26 5-7 4-6 2-3 6 2 0 0 1 16 16 -
J. Swopshire 14 4-7 1-3 0-1 1 0 1 2 0 9 6 -
R. Smith 14 3-8 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 2 -
Z. Price 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Ware 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Nunez 5 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
T. Henderson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Justice 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

* = starter