Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +21 (80-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabazz Napier * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Boatright * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Olander * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Roscoe Smith | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| DeAndre Daniels | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Niels Giffey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuric * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Peyton Siva * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Chane Behanan * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Chris Smith * | 26 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jared Swopshire | 14 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Russ Smith | 14 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Zach Price | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Ware | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Angel Nunez | 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Elisha Justice | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter