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2011-12-31

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Margin 8.9% 91.1% +12.8 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.4% 91.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harkless * 40 5-11 1-3 5-5 6 1 1 0 3 16 10 -
D. Harrison * 39 4-16 1-8 8-10 5 4 3 0 1 17 12 -
G. Achiuwa * 36 4-9 0-2 8-10 5 0 0 1 1 16 12 -
S. Pointer * 34 6-9 1-3 1-3 8 1 2 0 0 14 16 -
P. Greene IV * 30 2-9 1-6 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 6 -3 -
A. Garrett 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Stith 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lamb * 34 5-9 4-7 1-1 3 1 0 3 3 15 10 -
Shabazz Napier * 33 5-6 2-2 5-6 2 9 2 1 4 17 21 -
Andre Drummond * 31 7-11 0-0 2-3 11 1 0 1 1 16 17 -
DeAndre Daniels * 19 2-5 0-2 2-2 0 3 1 1 1 6 5 -
Alex Oriakhi * 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 6 8 -
Ryan Boatright 24 3-6 1-3 3-4 0 3 1 0 1 10 7 -
Tyler Olander 19 2-4 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Niels Giffey 14 2-2 2-2 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 7 7 -
Roscoe Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Benjamin Stewart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Enosch Wolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ethan Waite 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
P.J. Cochrane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter