Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | -0.4 | ✗ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -3 (70-73). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 25 | - |
| Roscoe Smith * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 38 | - |
| Ryan Boatright * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Olander | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DeAndre Daniels | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Cheek * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 26 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Tyrone Johnson * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Maurice Sutton * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ash Yacoubou | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter