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UC Davis

Also known as: UC Davis Aggies
Program History
Coach: Jim Les

2012 Team Stats (4 games)

63.0
PPG
74.0
Opp
-11.0
Margin
40.0%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
62.7%
FT%
35.3
RPG
11.8
APG
16.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.2
Adj PPG
72.4
Adj Opp PPG
#325
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 726 (#307) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 683 (#333) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 911 (#282) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -13.9 (#324) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -13.7 (#328) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.111 (#328) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.2 More โ†’ 0.080 (#323) AdjNet -21.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -21.4 More โ†’ 0.077 (#323) AdjNet -21.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 72.4 More โ†’ 0.232 (#325) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 69.9 More โ†’ 0.281 (#332) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.185 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.193 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 26 More โ†’ 749 (#315) RD 146 | GP 26

2012 Schedule & Results

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ryan Sypkens Ryan Sypkens G 4 33.0 14.5 5.0 2.5 1.2 0.0 2.5 3.8 17.0 - - - - 46.7 36.4 50.0 -1.9 182.6 60.0
Josh Ritchart Josh Ritchart G 29 27.4 10.9 5.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.6 3.3 13.7 -107 26 -4.1 -6.3 41.1 37.1 73.9 4.07 150.3 53.2
Eddie Miller Eddie Miller G 24 26.7 10.2 4.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 1.8 3.0 12.5 -209 21 -10.0 -15.7 33.3 16.7 74.1 -4.41 145.4 35.4
Tyler Les Tyler Les G 30 27.5 9.7 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.3 2.4 9.3 -190 26 -7.3 -11.8 38.4 37.5 66.7 -1.78 196.4 54.8
Harrison DuPont Harrison DuPont G 24 26.0 9.1 4.1 1.7 0.4 0.2 2.7 2.7 10.1 -196 20 -9.8 -17.3 35.4 20.0 52.1 -4.42 126.6 36.2
Ryan Howley Ryan Howley G 18 27.0 6.7 5.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 2.1 11.2 -102 15 -6.8 -10.8 54.1 50.0 33.3 -1.23 152.6 68.9
Tyrell Corbin Tyrell Corbin G 29 23.5 6.3 2.1 3.1 1.2 0.0 3.3 2.2 7.3 -176 25 -7.0 -13.0 35.9 23.5 67.4 -2.74 109.7 39.1
J.T. Adenrele J.T. Adenrele F 29 16.8 5.6 3.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.3 7.4 -100 25 -4.0 -10.3 61.5 0 58.8 -0.61 173.2 61.5
Alex Tiffin Alex Tiffin F 30 16.3 3.3 2.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.8 0.9 4.3 -155 25 -6.2 -16.2 46.2 0 69.2 -4.48 156.1 46.2
Paolo Mancasola Paolo Mancasola G 29 19.8 3.2 1.6 2.0 0.4 0.0 1.2 0.4 5.6 - - - - 38.5 100.0 80.0 - 309.2 50.0
Adam Malik Adam Malik G 25 9.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 3.3 -47 21 -2.2 -10.4 44.4 27.3 100.0 -0.16 161.5 52.8
Dominic Lippi Dominic Lippi G 6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.8 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0.0 - 208.3 150.0
Ryan Silva Ryan Silva G 4 8.0 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.2 0.0 1.8 - - - - 0 0 0 0.55 0 0
Mike Kurtz Mike Kurtz F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG