Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.7% | 12.3% | -10.8 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hanson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Chris Eversley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Amaurys Fermin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Will Taylor * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Maliik Love | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Will Donahue | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Drake U'u | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison DuPont * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Les | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter