Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hanson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| C. Eversley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - |
| A. Fermin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Taylor * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Royer | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Odister | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Love | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| W. Donahue | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. U'u | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lewis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. DuPont * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| E. Miller * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| T. Corbin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | - |
| J. Ritchart * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Les | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Tiffin | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| P. Mancasola | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter