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UC Irvine Anteaters 70
@
UC Davis Aggies 55
2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% - ✗
Margin 66.0% 34.0% -3.7 ✓ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 83.2% 16.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 90.2% 9.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 90.5% 9.5% - ✓

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -15 (55-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Starring * 36 3-9 1-7 5-5 2 5 2 0 2 12 10 -
C. McNealy * 35 6-10 5-6 0-1 8 3 1 1 1 17 19 -
D. Flowers * 29 2-4 0-0 5-7 2 2 0 0 2 9 7 -
M. Wilder * 27 7-11 2-5 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 20 13 -
A. Folker * 24 3-5 0-0 0-3 9 2 0 2 1 6 13 -
C. Woods 20 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
W. Davis II 16 0-3 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 4 0 3 6 -
M. Best 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
T. Souza 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Bradley 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Howley * 33 1-6 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
E. Miller * 32 2-9 0-3 1-2 13 1 2 0 0 5 12 -
T. Corbin * 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
J. Ritchart * 15 2-2 1-1 1-1 2 2 0 1 2 6 7 -
A. Tiffin * 15 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -2 -
H. DuPont 26 4-8 0-0 3-9 5 2 0 0 1 11 9 -
P. Mancasola 20 2-5 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 7 2 -
A. Malik 17 2-7 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -3 -
T. Les 17 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
J.T. Adenrele 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter