Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.7% | 13.3% | -13.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.7% | 4.3% | -17.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -27 (59-86). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Johnson * | 27 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| T.J. Taylor * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| James Nunnally * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jaime Serna * | 23 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Keegan Hornbuckle * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alan Williams | 26 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 22 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Nate Garth | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Greg Somogyi | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Lewis Thomas | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Christian Peterson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Les * | 32 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Harrison DuPont * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Alex Tiffin * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Adam Malik | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dominic Lippi | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter