Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.6% | 95.4% | +19.8 | ✓ (27.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +47 (90-43). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Les * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Harrison DuPont | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Adam Malik | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Nunnally * | 30 | 6-15 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 24 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jaime Serna * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Christian Peterson * | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Greg Somogyi * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 20 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Alan Williams | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Nate Garth | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Taylor | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Lewis Thomas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter