Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +11 (62-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #46690 * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Les * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Howley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| J. Ritchart * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Corbin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Malik | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Tiffin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Taylor * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 23 | - |
| D. Heuir * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| J. Stevenett * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| R. Jones, Jr. * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M. Massey * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Scott | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| W. Collie | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Nsenki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter