Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sypkens | 34 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | - |
| R. Howley | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Ritchart | 32 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| T. Corbin | 28 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Tiffin | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| P. Mancasola | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Les | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Silva | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Massey | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| R. Taylor | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Stevenett | 31 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| R. Jones, Jr. | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20 | - |
| W. Collie | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Heuir | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Nsenki | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jeffery | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Koehler | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter