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Cal State Northridge Matadors 71
@
UC Davis Aggies 79
2012-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% - ✓
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 ✓ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% - ✗

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 21 29 -
S. Hicks * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 1 2 17 28 -
V. McGhee * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 9 12 -
S. Maxwell * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 10 19 -
Player #57797 * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
A. Quinn 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
A. Jiles IV 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Hayward-Mayhew 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
F. Eteuati 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
M. Lizarraga 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 0 0 -
A. Guei 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #46690 * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 12 18 -
J. Ritchart * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 1 1 16 31 -
E. Miller * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 24 29 -
J.T. Adenrele * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 6 13 -
T. Corbin * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 2 -1 -
T. Les 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 16 23 -
A. Malik 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
A. Tiffin 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter