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Cal State Northridge Matadors 71
@
UC Davis Aggies 79
2012-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% -0.2 ✓ (8.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 57.0% 43.0% - ✗
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 ✗ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 71.9% 28.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - ✗

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +8 (79-71). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Greene * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 21 29 -
Stephan Hicks * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 1 2 17 28 -
Vinnie McGhee * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 9 12 -
Stephen Maxwell * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 10 19 -
Ari Feldman * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Aqeel Quinn 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
Allen Jiles IV 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
John Hayward-Mayhew 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
Frankie Eteuati 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Michael Lizarraga 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 0 0 -
Allan Guei 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Mancasola * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 12 18 -
Josh Ritchart * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 1 1 16 31 -
Eddie Miller * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 24 29 -
J.T. Adenrele * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 6 13 -
Tyrell Corbin * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 2 -1 -
Tyler Les 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 16 23 -
Adam Malik 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Alex Tiffin 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter