Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Les * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Ritchart * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Miller * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Corbin * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Player #46690 | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Malik | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Tiffin | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| H. DuPont | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Player #58749 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hanson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 29 | - |
| A. Fermin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Royer * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Lewis * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| W. Taylor * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| C. Eversley | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| W. Donahue | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| M. Love | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Odister | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter