🐻⬇️🏀

UC Davis Aggies 39
@
UCLA Bruins 82
2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 11.5% 88.5% - ✓
Margin 2.3% 97.7% +20.7 ✓ (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 4.0% 96.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: UCLA Bruins +43 (82-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ritchart * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 8 17 -
E. Miller * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 4 2 -
R. Howley * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 4 -
T. Corbin * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
A. Tiffin * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
H. DuPont 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 4 6 -
T. Les 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 12 -
P. Mancasola 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 9 -
J.T. Adenrele 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 4 -
A. Malik 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lamb * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 7 1 1 0 9 27 -
J. Anderson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 9 14 -
D. Wear * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 15 20 -
L. Jones * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 0 12 23 -
J. Smith * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 0 3 1 18 33 -
N. Powell 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 4 8 16 -
A. Stover 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 5 1 0 6 -
B. Lane 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 10 -
K. Jones 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
D. Brown 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Trapani 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. DeMarcus 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
N. Kazemi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter