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Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Program History
Coach: Rob Jeter

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

76.6
PPG
80.4
Opp
-3.8
Margin
46.0%
FG%
34.3%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
35.8
RPG
13.9
APG
14.1
TO
82.3
Pace
74.1
AdjO
82.8
AdjD
#290
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 928 (#237) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 812 (#313) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 895 (#676) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -7.7 (#276) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +9.0 (#241) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.207 (#330) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.8 More → 0.891 (#49) NetEff +19.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.0 More → 0.240 (#277) AdjNet -10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.236 (#277) AdjNet -10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 82.8 More → 0.313 (#290) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 82.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 77.5 More → 0.488 (#292) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.572 (#299) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 30 More → 915 (#431) RD 139 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 64 - 81
2025-11-08 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 72 - 95
2025-11-11 vs Bethesda University Flames W 118 - 60
2025-11-15 @ Omaha Mavericks L 85 - 90
2025-11-17 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 50 - 122
2025-11-19 @ Washington State Cougars L 74 - 98
2025-11-22 vs Nobel Knights W 103 - 68
2025-11-28 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 54 - 61
2025-11-29 @ Stetson Hatters W 70 - 68
2025-12-01 vs West Coast Baptist Eagles W 124 - 59
2025-12-13 @ Washington Huskies L 69 - 105
2025-12-18 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 57 - 65
2025-12-29 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers L 66 - 80
2026-01-03 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 77 - 86
2026-01-08 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 72 - 89
2026-01-10 @ California Baptist Lancers L 55 - 58
2026-01-15 vs Tarleton State Texans W 106 - 105
2026-01-21 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 84 - 70
2026-01-24 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers L 91 - 102
2026-01-29 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 61 - 80
2026-01-31 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats W 79 - 76
2026-02-07 vs Tarleton State Texans L 59 - 62
2026-02-12 vs California Baptist Lancers L 66 - 83
2026-02-14 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 78 - 73
2026-02-19 @ Tarleton State Texans L 74 - 78
2026-02-21 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 83 - 87
2026-02-28 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers W 81 - 67
2026-03-05 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 88 - 92
2026-03-07 vs California Baptist Lancers L 75 - 82
2026-03-12 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 63 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elijah Duval Elijah Duval - 29 26.5 15.8 3.9 3.7 1.2 0.3 3.6 12.4 8.9 -92 -4.2 -7.4 47.9 33.3 63.8 -0.99 54.9 52.1
J. Feroah J. Feroah - 30 29.6 13.0 6.7 1.7 0.8 1.6 2.1 8.6 13.1 -12 -0.5 -0.9 56.0 40.7 86.1 0.14 66.7 62.5
T. Hayhurst T. Hayhurst - 29 28.8 10.2 3.5 1.5 0.7 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 7 0.3 0.5 48.5 46.7 87.7 0.54 65.2 60.9
I. Cottrell I. Cottrell - 30 25.3 8.7 5.7 1.2 0.5 1.3 1.4 7.3 8.7 -99 -4.3 -8.5 41.4 19.6 71.6 -0.95 49.7 43.6
D. Jones D. Jones G 28 24.3 8.0 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.9 6.6 3.8 -42 -1.6 -3.7 43.8 37.5 80.0 -0.57 58.7 57.6
Z. Bell Z. Bell - 10 20.8 7.0 2.1 2.1 0.6 0.2 3.0 6.3 2.7 -121 -12.1 -27.5 41.3 21.1 77.8 -1.59 49.4 44.4
J. Lee J. Lee G 22 14.4 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 4.6 2.9 0 0.0 0.0 38.6 36.0 71.0 0.12 51.5 47.5
Cale Barclay Cale Barclay - 29 16.0 4.9 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.1 -87 -3.8 -11.0 43.1 13.2 68.5 -1.31 50.8 45.3
L. Stephens L. Stephens G 20 9.1 4.4 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.2 3.1 3.5 33 2.8 34.3 33.9 24.0 74.1 -0.21 51.3 38.7
K. Burdick K. Burdick - 30 14.1 4.1 3.4 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.9 2.9 5.2 -8 -0.3 -1.9 64.8 50.0 42.1 -0.57 64.3 65.9
L. Abellar L. Abellar - 29 11.2 3.0 0.7 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.7 1.9 -64 -2.8 -9.9 31.6 30.4 76.9 -0.45 45.2 36.1
L. Binns L. Binns - 7 3.6 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 -0.1 -8 -1.6 -29.8 30.8 22.2 0.0 -0.11 36.0 38.5
Zeplin Kidd Zeplin Kidd - 12 4.8 1.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 27 2.2 36.0 38.5 25.0 40.0 0.12 46.1 46.2
C. Isitua C. Isitua - 7 5.4 0.9 1.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.6 -7 -1.0 -14.0 28.6 0 66.7 -0.05 36.1 28.6
Brayden Johnson Brayden Johnson - 12 4.8 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 20 2.2 31.3 23.1 33.3 50.0 0.21 33.9 30.8
Juok Riak Juok Riak F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG