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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds UT Arlington Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% -
Margin 14.8% 85.2% +9.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 26.3% 73.7% -
Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% -

Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hayhurst 38 4-9 2-6 1-2 6 3 1 0 0 11 12 -
I. Cottrell 29 2-7 0-3 1-4 9 2 0 2 2 5 9 -
J. Feroah 28 3-5 0-1 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
D. Jones 27 5-7 2-4 2-3 1 1 0 1 3 14 7 -
K. Burdick 26 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 3 2 10 14 -
E. Duval 22 7-12 2-3 4-4 2 3 0 0 3 20 10 -
L. Stephens 14 0-2 0-1 3-5 3 3 1 0 2 3 6 -
C. Barclay 10 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 5 2 -
L. Abellar 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Seamster 33 5-11 1-1 2-5 5 3 3 0 2 13 11 -
M. McCreary 31 7-14 2-5 0-0 4 1 4 0 2 16 9 -
C. Chavis 27 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 2 2 -
M. Goodman 19 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
M. Rigsby Jr. 18 4-7 0-2 2-6 1 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
T. Mason 15 2-6 0-1 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
J. Smoot 14 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Laster 13 0-3 0-1 4-4 1 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Lowery 11 2-2 2-2 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
C. Jackson 10 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 0 3 7 -
A. Reed 9 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter