Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayhurst | 40 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Feroah | 39 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 | - |
| E. Duval | 36 | 7-20 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| I. Cottrell | 33 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| D. Jones | 25 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Barclay | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Burdick | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Stephens | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dormu | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Mizell | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Isaac | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Sigiscar | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| O. Owens | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Mpaka | 18 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| C. Thomas | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| F. Hicks | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Douglas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Porter Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter