Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | -14.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.0% | 11.0% | -11.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -4 (88-92). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevan Leonhardt * | 35 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | +1.6 |
| Braden Housley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Jackson Holcombe * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5.0 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -7.4 |
| Isaac Davis * | 28 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 17 | +0.5 |
| Tyler Weaver | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Isaac Hawkins | 11 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Hayden Welling | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Noah Taitz | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Feroah * | 38 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Tanner Hayhurst * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Elijah Duval * | 27 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | -1.5 |
| Kai Burdick * | 25 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -11.3 |
| Isaiah Cottrell * | 24 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 4-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Cale Barclay | 19 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -2.3 |
| Dylan Jones | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +13.1 |
| Logan Stephens | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.2 |
| Brayden Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.7 |
* = starter