Model Predictions
| Model | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | -5.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.7% | 19.3% | -7.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -23 (72-95). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin McGhee III * | 31 | 12-17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 24 | +11.7 |
| Koree Cotton * | 26 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +17.9 |
| Filip Brankovic * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +9.6 |
| Always Wright * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +18.2 |
| Dane Christensen * | 19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -5.3 |
| Kye Dickson | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Jaylen Washington | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Zae Blake | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Julien Gomez | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Marshal Destremau | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Kwo Agwa | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Demarris Winters | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.4 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Feroah * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 24 | 32 | -2.2 |
| Isaiah Cottrell * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Dylan Jones * | 26 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +4.4 |
| Elijah Duval * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | -12.5 |
| Jalen Lee * | 11 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -13.6 |
| Zach Bell | 22 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -17.9 |
| Cale Barclay | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Tanner Hayhurst | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +18.3 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Langston Binns | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Chuks Isitua | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Brayden Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Logan Stephens | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Kai Burdick | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
* = starter