Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -17 (66-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels Jr. | 35 | 12-24 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 12 | - |
| M. Williams | 31 | 8-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Griman | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Jackson | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Henige | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| T. Ndong | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Daniels | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. D'Amelio | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bowser | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Muller | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Malcolm | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Garcia | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Cottrell | 40 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| J. Feroah | 35 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Burdick | 34 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| E. Duval | 25 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Hayhurst | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Stephens | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Abellar | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Jones | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Kidd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter