Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Omaha Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Omaha Mavericks +5 (90-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Barclay * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +0.6 |
| E. Duval * | 27 | 9-17 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | +6.7 |
| J. Feroah * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | +8.7 |
| I. Cottrell * | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -14.6 |
| L. Abellar * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Z. Bell | 24 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | -2.6 |
| D. Jones | 23 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +4.4 |
| T. Hayhurst | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.9 |
| K. Burdick | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +9.4 |
| J. Lee | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +13.3 |
Omaha Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stubblefield * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -5.0 |
| T. Osburn * | 31 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 18 | -6.6 |
| L. Waddles * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -3.2 |
| K. Thomas * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +3.3 |
| B. Scholl * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -4.0 |
| K. Cooper | 20 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +0.8 |
| J. Glover | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7.8 |
| J. Margrave | 12 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -3.3 |
| C. Richardson | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| V. Simon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
* = starter