Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sigiscar | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Mizell | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Dormu | 26 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| K. Douglas | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Isaac | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. McDowell | 21 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| O. Owens | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| F. Hicks | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Vrabel | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayhurst | 38 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| E. Duval | 35 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 7 | - |
| D. Jones | 33 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Feroah | 31 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| I. Cottrell | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Barclay | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Burdick | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Lee | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Abellar | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter