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California Baptist Lancers 82
@
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 75
2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model California Baptist Lancers Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 78.8% 21.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 86.7% 13.3% - ✓
Margin 83.9% 16.1% -9.1 ✓ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 74.1% 25.9% - ✓
Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 87.4% 12.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.5% 12.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 68.8% 31.2% - ✓

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Baptist Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson 38 5-11 4-8 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 14 6 -
D. Daniels Jr. 35 12-20 1-3 7-11 2 1 0 0 1 32 14 -
J. Griman 30 3-5 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 6 11 -
M. Williams 29 6-13 0-3 2-3 9 3 0 0 2 14 11 -
B. Henige 24 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 -
T. Ndong 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
D. Malcolm 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
R. D'Amelio 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Muller 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
M. Daniels 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Duval 36 11-17 2-5 6-8 4 4 4 0 2 30 23 -
J. Feroah 31 4-7 2-3 4-5 6 2 1 0 2 14 14 -
K. Burdick 31 4-6 0-1 1-2 8 2 0 1 2 9 12 -
C. Barclay 26 3-7 0-2 8-9 2 0 2 0 1 14 10 -
I. Cottrell 25 2-9 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
D. Jones 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Stephens 19 0-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -6 -
L. Abellar 5 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
B. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Isitua 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Binns 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter