Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Burdick | 39 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| J. Feroah | 38 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| T. Hayhurst | 28 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| E. Duval | 24 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | - |
| I. Cottrell | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Barclay | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| L. Stephens | 17 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| D. Jones | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Abellar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Binns | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Chavis | 34 | 7-19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| J. Lowery | 31 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. McCreary | 29 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| R. Seamster | 27 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Laster | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Goodman | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Reed | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Mason | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Jackson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter