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Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Program History
Coach: Rob Jeter

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

65.0
PPG
71.9
Opp
-5.3
Margin
49.1%
FG%
23.5%
3P%
63.6%
FT%
33.0
RPG
8.0
APG
28.0
TO
87.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1168 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1156 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 904 (#550) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +18.6 (#255) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -2.0 (#344) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.250 (#100) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -45.8 More → 0.005 (#309) NetEff -45.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.6 More → 0.049 (#114) AdjNet -25.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.3 More → 0.046 (#114) AdjNet -26.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 68.2 More → 0.397 (#520) AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 68.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.405 (#351) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.389 (#369) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 31 More → 837 (#520) RD 133 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 65 - 103
2012-11-16 vs Green Bay Phoenix L 54 - 66
2012-11-17 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 69 - 112
2012-11-18 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 61 - 79
2012-11-21 vs Carroll College (MT) Fighting Saints W 68 - 58
2012-11-29 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 52 - 61
2012-12-01 vs San Diego Christian Hawks W 95 - 65
2012-12-04 vs San Diego Toreros L 53 - 67
2012-12-17 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 79 - 67
2012-12-21 @ Denver Pioneers L 47 - 72
2012-12-29 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 51 - 50
2013-01-05 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 90 - 77
2013-01-07 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 59 - 64
2013-01-10 vs Weber State Wildcats L 74 - 81
2013-01-12 vs Idaho State Bengals L 53 - 54
2013-01-17 @ Montana Grizzlies L 67 - 73
2013-01-21 @ Montana State Bobcats L 68 - 76
2013-01-24 vs Portland State Vikings W 76 - 63
2013-01-26 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 69 - 55
2013-01-31 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 79 - 67
2013-02-02 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 78 - 67
2013-02-07 @ Idaho State Bengals W 81 - 79
2013-02-09 @ Weber State Wildcats L 58 - 75
2013-02-14 @ Portland State Vikings L 69 - 90
2013-02-16 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 72 - 86
2013-02-23 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 73 - 72
2013-02-28 vs Montana State Bobcats L 61 - 62
2013-03-04 vs Montana Grizzlies L 74 - 86
2013-03-07 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 58 - 66
2013-03-09 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 61 - 68
2013-03-14 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 52 - 69

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Stevenett J. Stevenett F 30 33.8 17.6 6.1 1.8 0.8 0.7 2.1 2.7 22.2 -34 -1.1 -1.5 55.6 45.5 90.9 0.4 276.4 58.6
D. Heuir D. Heuir G 30 31.0 15.5 4.0 3.2 0.8 0.2 3.3 2.9 17.5 -54 -1.8 -2.7 35.6 28.1 74.3 -0.15 227.5 40.8
J. Scott J. Scott F 9 18.8 7.7 2.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 1.9 0.9 9.3 -89 -9.9 -20.2 87.5 0 60.0 1.17 278.2 87.5
W. Collie W. Collie G-F 22 23.4 7.3 3.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 2.2 0.7 10.8 -4 -0.2 -0.3 33.3 20.0 50.0 0.4 506.9 36.7
J. Cheesman J. Cheesman C 31 21.1 6.8 6.0 0.9 0.2 1.9 1.6 1.0 13.3 -38 -1.2 -2.5 50.0 0 70.0 -0.02 259.8 50.0
A.J. Hess A.J. Hess G 31 20.7 5.8 2.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.9 0.7 8.6 -95 -3.1 -5.7 42.9 43.8 83.3 -0.85 382.8 59.5
C. Hanks C. Hanks C 31 13.5 3.6 3.0 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.0 0.4 6.9 -102 -3.3 -8.7 61.5 0 53.3 -1.03 288.3 61.5
J. Johnson J. Johnson G 31 20.5 3.6 3.3 1.5 1.0 0.3 1.5 0.6 7.5 213 6.9 10.8 45.0 33.3 62.5 0.71 205.3 47.5
J. Jeffery J. Jeffery F 30 16.3 3.5 3.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.6 6.3 -34 -1.1 -3.2 42.1 0 60.0 -0.45 224.4 42.1
C. Nsenki C. Nsenki G 30 13.4 2.4 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.8 2.7 -130 -4.2 -11.6 30.4 25.0 100.0 -1.2 148.7 41.3
T. Koehler T. Koehler F-C 27 9.0 1.3 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.3 2.7 -76 -2.8 -9.9 12.5 0 0 -0.68 218.8 12.5
Z. Ghormley Z. Ghormley - 8 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 87.5 0.0
J. Renfro J. Renfro F 5 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 106.4 0.0
D. Thomas D. Thomas G 18 5.8 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.5 323 9.5 12.3 0.0 0 0.0 2.5 53.2 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG