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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 57.8% 42.2% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +1 (51-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Barden * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 12 22 -
T. Svihovec * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 1 7 6 11 -
T. Huskisson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 3 9 14 -
T. Unruh * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 5 11 -
C. Osborne * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
E. Addo 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 10 11 -
P. Garnica 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Davis Jr. 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Keane 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Collie * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 13 17 -
J. Stevenett * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 14 23 -
J. Cheesman * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 1 8 18 -
D. Heuir * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 4 10 -
J. Jeffery * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 4 8 -
J. Johnson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 2 1 4 14 -
T. Koehler 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 0 8 -
A.J. Hess 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
C. Hanks 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
C. Nsenki 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter