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Montana Grizzlies 86
@
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 74
2013-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% - ✓
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 ✓ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 70.0% 30.0% - ✓
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% - ✓

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -12 (74-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jamar * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 1 4 26 31 -
J. Gregory * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 14 21 -
K. Deshields * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 13 18 -
S. Coleman * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 16 21 -
E. Hutchison 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 0 5 14 -
K. Henderson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
M. Weisner 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 4 11 -
A. Martin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 7 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hess * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 2 15 24 -
J. Stevenett * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 3 1 16 28 -
D. Heuir * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 3 0 3 29 39 -
J. Johnson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 3 9 -
T. Koehler * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
C. Nsenki 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. Cheesman 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 3 -
J. Jeffery 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
C. Hanks 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 -

* = starter