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Southern Utah Thunderbirds 58
@
Northern Colorado Bears 66
2013-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 ✓ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.0% 60.0% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hess * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 0 3 13 -
D. Heuir * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 3 4 11 -
J. Stevenett * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 25 31 -
J. Cheesman * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 8 15 -
J. Jeffery * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
J. Johnson 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 0 7 -
C. Nsenki 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 6 6 -
C. Hanks 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
T. Koehler 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 5 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Unruh * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 13 19 -
D. Barden * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 2 2 18 30 -
T. Svihovec * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 14 23 -
C. Osborne * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 11 18 -
T. Huskisson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 6 11 -
G. Tucker 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
P. Garnica 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
E. Addo 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Douvier 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter