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Southern Utah Thunderbirds 52
@
TCU Horned Frogs 61
2012-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% - ✓
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% - ✓

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +9 (61-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Collie * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 5 12 -
D. Heuir * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 25 29 -
J. Cheesman * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 3 3 9 24 -
J. Stevenett * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 1 5 -
J. Jeffery * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Koehler 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 6 8 -
A.J. Hess 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
C. Hanks 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Thomas 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Nsenki 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Ghormley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyan Anderson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 4 21 25 -
Devonta Abron * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 17 22 -
Thomas Montigel * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
Jarvis Ray * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 2 6 -
Garlon Green * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 7 11 -
Adrick McKinney 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 7 13 -
Connell Crossland 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 0 6 -
Clyde Smith 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Charles Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Chris Zurcher 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter