Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Johnson * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Damon Heuir * | 34 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jackson Stevenett * | 32 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Jayson Cheesman * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jaren Jeffery * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Hess | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Cal Hanks | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chris Nsenki | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Koehler | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Drake Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Ghormley | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renado Parker * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Michael Harthun * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Lateef McMullan * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Moore * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Gary Winston * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Winston, Jr. | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Michael Harvey | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Cataldo | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alyx Foster | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter