Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -14 (53-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Anderson * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | +6.3 |
| Johnny Dee * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -1.7 |
| Ken Rancifer * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +10.7 |
| Dennis Kramer * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +12.5 |
| Simi Fajemisin * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
| John Sinis | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Mike Davis | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Chris Manresa | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Cameron Miles | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +10.2 |
| Jito Kok | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Keith Stackhouse | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Trey Guidry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Stevenett * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -5.2 |
| Damon Heuir * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Jayson Cheesman * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Wade Collie * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -1.9 |
| Jaren Jeffery * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
| A.J. Hess | 24 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Cal Hanks | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -11.4 |
| Jordan Johnson | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Chris Nsenki | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -20.4 |
| Tyson Koehler | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Drake Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
* = starter