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Purdue Boilermakers

Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers
Program History

2013 Team Stats (9 games)

63.3
PPG
75.7
Opp
-12.3
Margin
41.2%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
65.5%
FT%
34.2
RPG
12.4
APG
12.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.7
Adj PPG
61.9
Adj Opp PPG
#77
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1230 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1056 (#131) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 980 (#202) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +7.6 (#73) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +8.7 (#63) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.551 (#140) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.5 More โ†’ 0.842 (#57) AdjNet +14.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.7 More โ†’ 0.846 (#57) AdjNet +14.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 61.9 More โ†’ 0.649 (#77) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.591 (#86) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.689 (#75) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.678 (#75) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1123 (#82) RD 103 | GP 34

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Bucknell Bison L 65 - 70
2012-11-11 vs Hofstra Pride W 83 - 54
2012-11-15 vs Villanova Wildcats L 81 - 89
2012-11-16 @ Oregon State Beavers L 58 - 66
2012-11-21 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 66 - 40
2012-11-28 @ Clemson Tigers W 73 - 61
2012-12-01 vs Xavier Musketeers L 57 - 63
2012-12-04 vs Lamar Cardinals W 72 - 39
2012-12-08 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 44 - 47
2012-12-15 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 68 - 81
2012-12-18 vs Ball State Cardinals W 66 - 56
2012-12-29 vs William & Mary Tribe W 73 - 66
2013-01-02 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 68 - 61
2013-01-05 @ Michigan State Spartans L 61 - 84
2013-01-08 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 64 - 74
2013-01-13 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 60 - 42
2013-01-16 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 65 - 56
2013-01-19 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 79 - 52
2013-01-24 @ Michigan Wolverines L 53 - 68
2013-01-27 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 65 - 62
2013-01-30 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 60 - 97
2013-02-02 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 60 - 75
2013-02-05 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 58 - 49
2013-02-09 vs Michigan State Spartans L 65 - 78
2013-02-13 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 59 - 79
2013-02-16 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 55 - 83
2013-02-24 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 74 - 43
2013-02-27 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 48 - 58
2013-03-03 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 69 - 56
2013-03-06 vs Michigan Wolverines L 75 - 80
2013-03-09 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 89 - 73
2013-03-14 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 55 - 57
2013-03-20 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 81 - 67
2013-03-25 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 83 - 86

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Terone Johnson Terone Johnson G 33 32.1 13.5 4.7 2.9 0.5 0.2 2.0 4.6 15.1 -19 28 -0.7 -0.9 42.5 31.0 66.7 0.0 132.8 45.4
A.J. Hammons A.J. Hammons C 34 23.1 10.6 6.0 0.6 0.3 2.0 1.6 3.0 14.8 12 29 0.4 0.8 45.6 0 66.7 2.58 143.1 45.6
Ronnie Johnson Ronnie Johnson G 34 31.2 10.3 3.4 4.1 1.0 0.1 2.6 3.4 12.9 27 29 0.9 1.2 33.3 33.3 52.6 3.43 130.9 34.6
D.J. Byrd D.J. Byrd G-F 34 30.8 10.1 4.1 2.7 0.9 0.2 1.7 2.5 13.8 3 29 0.1 0.1 41.2 43.8 77.8 1.87 192.8 57.6
Rapheal Davis Rapheal Davis G 34 18.9 5.7 3.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.2 1.4 8.6 -38 29 -1.3 -2.8 43.5 28.6 58.6 -1.41 165.9 47.8
Anthony Johnson Anthony Johnson G 34 18.0 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 1.6 6.6 -76 29 -2.6 -6.3 34.5 16.7 88.9 -3.34 142.5 36.4
Donnie Hale Donnie Hale F 32 14.5 3.8 2.8 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 6.0 -39 27 -1.4 -4.3 33.3 0 50.0 -1.27 192.1 33.3
Sandi Marcius Sandi Marcius F 29 9.3 3.3 2.5 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 5.5 63 26 2.4 10.6 60.9 0 72.7 5.48 172.4 60.9
Jay Simpson Jay Simpson F 10 7.6 2.6 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.0 5.5 -6 7 -0.9 -4.8 0 0 0 -1.58 0 0
Jack Lawson Jack Lawson F 28 11.0 2.2 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 4.8 -11 24 -0.5 -1.9 50.0 0 62.5 -1.72 199.7 50.0
Travis Carroll Travis Carroll F 33 8.3 1.8 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 3.8 -43 28 -1.5 -7.8 37.5 0 60.0 -0.21 299.0 37.5
Dru Anthrop Dru Anthrop G 21 9.1 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.1 2.9 25 18 1.4 6.7 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.17 210.1 0.0
Neal Beshears Neal Beshears F 10 2.8 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 1 8 0.1 2.0 0 0 0 -0.81 0 0
Stephen Toyra Stephen Toyra G 11 2.7 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 12 9 1.3 19.1 0 0 0.0 0.86 227.3 0
J. Mckeeman J. Mckeeman - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG